Small stakes, big upside. The longshots with real data behind the dream. Every CFL play below is ranked from 13 qualifying angles with the numbers that justify it.
Quick Stats
- 13 angles in play
- Calgary Stampeders Yes - Will There Be Overtime? (20% in the last 5 games, +1100) - CAL @ WIN
- Edmonton Elks Yes - Will There Be Overtime? (+1200, 8% implied) - EDM @ SAS
- Saskatchewan Roughriders Yes - Will There Be Overtime? (0% in 3 home games this season, +1200) - SAS vs. EDM
- Winnipeg Blue Bombers Yes - Will There Be Overtime? (0% in 2 home games this season, +1100) - WIN vs. CAL
Today's Longshots & Value
Small stakes, big upside. The longshots with real data behind the dream. Ranked by hit rate, each with the data behind it:
- Calgary Stampeders Yes - Will There Be Overtime? (20% in the last 5 games, +1100) - CAL @ WIN
- Edmonton Elks Yes - Will There Be Overtime? (+1200, 8% implied) - EDM @ SAS
- Saskatchewan Roughriders Yes - Will There Be Overtime? (0% in 3 home games this season, +1200) - SAS vs. EDM
- Winnipeg Blue Bombers Yes - Will There Be Overtime? (0% in 2 home games this season, +1100) - WIN vs. CAL
- this pick (+59960, 0% implied)
- Hamilton Tiger-Cats Hamilton - 3rd Quarter Moneyline (+198, 34% implied) - HAM @ MON
- Hamilton Tiger-Cats Hamilton - 2nd Quarter Moneyline (+215, 32% implied) - HAM @ MON
- Hamilton Tiger-Cats Hamilton - 1st Half Moneyline (+285, 26% implied) - HAM @ MON
The Case
We pulled 13 qualifying CFL angles and kept the strongest, but confidence is not certainty, so we stake to the edge, not the excitement.
- Edmonton Elks Yes - Will There Be Overtime? at +1200 - EDM @ SAS
- Saskatchewan Roughriders Yes - Will There Be Overtime? (0% in 3 home games this season) at +1200 - SAS vs. EDM
- Winnipeg Blue Bombers Yes - Will There Be Overtime? (0% in 2 home games this season) at +1100 - WIN vs. CAL
- Calgary Stampeders Yes - Will There Be Overtime? (20% in the last 5 games) at +1100 - CAL @ WIN
- this pick at +59960
Things to Watch Out For
Before you bet:
- Saskatchewan Roughriders Yes - Will There Be Overtime? has hit just 0% recently, closer to a coin flip than an edge.
- Winnipeg Blue Bombers Yes - Will There Be Overtime? sits at 0% lately, too thin to back with confidence.
- Calgary Stampeders Yes - Will There Be Overtime? has cashed only 20% of late, below the bar for a real edge.
- Edmonton Elks Yes - Will There Be Overtime? is barely a coin flip at 0%, so tread carefully.
How to Play It
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is today's top CFL longshots & value?
Our top play: Calgary Stampeders Yes - Will There Be Overtime? (20% in the last 5 games, +1100) - CAL @ WIN.
How are these ranked?
By recent hit rate and implied probability, weighted for sample depth.
How many angles were considered?
13 qualifying CFL angles today.
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