CFL 1st Half Moneyline Best Picks This Week

The best CFL 1st Half Moneyline picks this week, ranked from 19 qualifying angles with the numbers behind each recommendation and the risks to respect.

Quick Stats

19 qualifying 1st Half Moneyline angles
Toronto Argonauts Toronto - 1st Half Moneyline (80% in the last 5 Saturday games against BCL, -162) - TOR @ BCL
BC Lions BC - 1st Half Moneyline (75% in the last 8 July home games, +136) - BCL vs. TOR
Hamilton Tiger-Cats Hamilton - 1st Half Moneyline (61% in the last 18 July games, +285) - HAM @ MON
Edmonton Elks Edmonton - 1st Half Moneyline (50% in the last 20 games, +150) - EDM @ SAS

Best 1st Half Moneyline Picks

Our top CFL 1st Half Moneyline plays from 19 angles, ranked by hit rate with the data behind each:

Toronto Argonauts Toronto - 1st Half Moneyline (80% in the last 5 Saturday games against BCL, -162) - TOR @ BCL
BC Lions BC - 1st Half Moneyline (75% in the last 8 July home games, +136) - BCL vs. TOR
Hamilton Tiger-Cats Hamilton - 1st Half Moneyline (61% in the last 18 July games, +285) - HAM @ MON
Edmonton Elks Edmonton - 1st Half Moneyline (50% in the last 20 games, +150) - EDM @ SAS
Winnipeg Blue Bombers Winnipeg - 1st Half Moneyline (-130, 56% implied) - WIN vs. CAL
this pick (+1604, 6% implied)
Montreal Alouettes Montréal - 1st Half Moneyline (-400, 80% implied) - MON vs. HAM
Calgary Stampeders Calgary - 1st Half Moneyline (+102, 50% implied) - CAL @ WIN

The Data Behind the Board

This board ranks 19 qualifying 1st Half Moneyline angles by recent hit rate and implied probability, but a high hit rate on a tiny sample is not real edge, so we favor angles with depth.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers Winnipeg - 1st Half Moneyline at -130 - WIN vs. CAL
Toronto Argonauts Toronto - 1st Half Moneyline (80% in the last 5 Saturday games against BCL) at -162 - TOR @ BCL
this pick at +1604
Hamilton Tiger-Cats Hamilton - 1st Half Moneyline (50% in the last 10 away games) at +285 - HAM @ MON
Toronto Argonauts Toronto - 1st Half Moneyline at -162 - TOR @ BCL

Things to Watch Out For

Risk flags across the 1st Half Moneyline board:

Hamilton Tiger-Cats Hamilton - 1st Half Moneyline has hit just 50% recently, closer to a coin flip than an edge.
Edmonton Elks Edmonton - 1st Half Moneyline sits at 50% lately, too thin to back with confidence.

How to Bet 1st Half Moneyline

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best CFL 1st Half Moneyline pick this week?

Our top play: Toronto Argonauts Toronto - 1st Half Moneyline (80% in the last 5 Saturday games against BCL, -162) - TOR @ BCL.

How are these 1st Half Moneyline picks ranked?

By recent hit rate and implied probability, weighted for sample depth.

How many 1st Half Moneyline angles are tracked?

19 qualifying 1st Half Moneyline angles are in our data this week.