Premier Division Longshots & Value Today (July 22, 2026)

Small stakes, big upside. The longshots with real data behind the dream. Every Premier Division play below is ranked from 14 qualifying angles with the numbers that justify it.

Quick Stats

• 14 angles in play
• Dundalk FC Dundalk Odd - 1st Half Team Goals Odd or Even (60% in the last 5 away games vs a former coach, +200) - DUN @ STP
• Dundalk FC Dundalk - 1st Half 1X2 (45% in 22 games this season, +360) - DUN @ STP
• Dundalk FC Draw 0:0 - 2nd Half Correct Score (40% in the last 20 games against STP, +280) - DUN @ STP
• Dundalk FC Dundalk Yes - To Score Both Halves (30% in 23 games this season, +400) - DUN @ STP

Today's Longshots & Value

Small stakes, big upside. The longshots with real data behind the dream. Ranked by hit rate, each with the data behind it:

• Dundalk FC Dundalk Odd - 1st Half Team Goals Odd or Even (60% in the last 5 away games vs a former coach, +200) - DUN @ STP
• Dundalk FC Dundalk - 1st Half 1X2 (45% in 22 games this season, +360) - DUN @ STP
• Dundalk FC Draw 0:0 - 2nd Half Correct Score (40% in the last 20 games against STP, +280) - DUN @ STP
• Dundalk FC Dundalk Yes - To Score Both Halves (30% in 23 games this season, +400) - DUN @ STP
• Dundalk FC Dundalk Yes - To Shut Out Opponent (25% in the last 20 games, +800) - DUN @ STP
• St. Patrick's Athletic St. Patrick’s Exactly 3 - Team Goals Scored (Exact) (20% in the last 10 home games, +330) - STP vs. DUN
• Waterford FC Waterford Yes - To Win Both Halves (+1100, 8% implied) - WAT @ GAL
• this pick (+43100, 0% implied)

The Case

We pulled 14 qualifying Premier Division angles and kept the strongest, but confidence is not certainty, so we stake to the edge, not the excitement.

• Waterford FC Waterford Yes - To Win Both Halves at +1100 - WAT @ GAL
• St. Patrick's Athletic St. Patrick’s Exactly 3 - Team Goals Scored (Exact) (20% in the last 10 home games) at +330 - STP vs. DUN
• this pick at +43100
• Drogheda United Drogheda Utd Yes - To Shut Out Opponent at +320 - DRO @ SLR
• Dundalk FC Draw 0:0 - 2nd Half Correct Score (40% in the last 20 games against STP) at +280 - DUN @ STP

Things to Watch Out For

Before you bet:

• St. Patrick's Athletic St. Patrick’s Exactly 3 - Team Goals Scored (Exact) has hit just 20% recently, closer to a coin flip than an edge.
• Dundalk FC Draw 0:0 - 2nd Half Correct Score (DUN @ STP) sits at 40% lately, too thin to back with confidence.
• Dundalk FC Dundalk Yes - To Shut Out Opponent has cashed only 25% of late, below the bar for a real edge.
• Dundalk FC Dundalk - 1st Half 1X2 is barely a coin flip at 45%, so tread carefully.

How to Play It

Tap any pick to load it, compare the price across books, and place it via the widget.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is today's top Premier Division longshots & value?

Our top play: Dundalk FC Dundalk Odd - 1st Half Team Goals Odd or Even (60% in the last 5 away games vs a former coach, +200) - DUN @ STP.

How are these ranked?

By recent hit rate and implied probability, weighted for sample depth.

How many angles were considered?

14 qualifying Premier Division angles today.