Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Under 2.5 Goals

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC hosts Tianjin Jinmen Tiger on June 27 at Tongliang Long Stadium in a China Super League regular-season matchup. Under 2.5 total goals has cashed at an 80% rate across Chongqing's last 5 night home games, with less than 2.5 goals scored in 4 of those 5 contests. This tight offensive environment aligns with broader seasonal patterns as Chongqing sits 6-3-6 at home.

Quick Stats

• Under 2.5 has hit 80% in Chongqing's last 5 night home games (local start time after 6pm)
• In Chongqing's last 8 night home games this season, Under 2.5 has cashed 63% of the time
• This matchup kicks off at 8:00 PM local time, matching the night-game conditions driving the Under trend
• Chongqing's home season record is 6-3-6; Tianjin is 3-6-6 overall with a 0.2 win percentage

Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Event Details

This China Super League regular-season fixture takes place on June 27, 2026, at Tongliang Long Stadium in Chongqing. The match is scheduled for 8:00 PM local time (12:00 PM UTC), classifying it as a night game. Chongqing enters with a home record of 6-3-6 (0.4 win percentage) and currently holds a 1-game home losing streak. Tianjin arrives with a season record of 3-6-6 (0.2 win percentage) and a 1-game winning streak. Both teams come in with identical last-5 records of 1-2-2.

• Venue: Tongliang Long Stadium, Chongqing (capacity 20,000)
• Kick-off: 8:00 PM local time, June 27, 2026
• Chongqing home record: 6-3-6
• Tianjin season record: 3-6-6
• Both teams' last 5 record: 1-2-2

Under 2.5 Goals: 80% Hit Rate in Chongqing's Last 5 Night Home Games

Under 2.5 total goals has cashed in 4 of Chongqing's last 5 night home games played with a local start time after 6pm. The five most recent night-home contests occurred on April 17 (vs. SCI, 2 goals), April 26 (vs. QIN, 2 goals), May 5 (vs. HEN, 2 goals), May 20 (vs. YUN, 0 goals), and May 30 (vs. BJG, 5 goals). Only the May 30 match against Beijing Guoan went Over 2.5, marking the sole miss in this five-game sample.

• Under 2.5 cashed 4 of last 5 Chongqing night home games: 80% hit rate
• Recent night-home results: 2, 2, 2, 0, 5 goals
• Only 1 miss in the last 5: May 30 vs. Beijing Guoan (5 goals)
• Three consecutive Under hits from April 17 through May 5

Seasonal Context: 63% Under Success Across 8 Night Home Games

Expanding to Chongqing's full 2026 season, Under 2.5 has hit in 5 of 8 night home games (63% win percentage). The eight contests span from March 14 through May 30, with goal totals of 1, 6, 3, 2, 2, 2, 0, and 5. Five games finished under the threshold while three, March 21 (6 goals), April 11 (3 goals), and May 30 (5 goals), went over, showing meaningful variance but a clear Under lean.

• Under 2.5 cashed 5 of 8 Chongqing night home games this season: 63% hit rate
• Season night-home totals: 1, 6, 3, 2, 2, 2, 0, 5 goals
• Three Under misses: games with 6, 3, and 5 goals
• Opponents faced in these 8 night games: LIT, CHR, WUH, SCI, QIN, HEN, YUN, BJG

Match Conditions and Opponent Profile

The June 27 kickoff at 8:00 PM local time places this fixture squarely within Chongqing's night-game window where low-scoring trends have dominated. Projected weather shows rainy conditions with cloud cover at 100%, potentially suppressing goal output. Tianjin's 0.2 season win percentage and 3-6-6 record suggest a struggling offensive unit, while Chongqing's recent 1-game home losing streak adds defensive pressure. Both teams have identical last-5 records (1-2-2), indicating comparable struggles in form.

• Projected weather: Rainy with 100% cloud cover
• Tianjin's season win percentage: 0.2 (3-6-6 record)
• Chongqing home losing streak: 1 game
• Both teams' recent form: 1-2-2 in last 5 games

Team Betting Trends

The strongest Chongqing Tonglianglong FC team-level angles, with the numbers:

• Tongliang Long No - To Hold Opponent Scoreless (80% in the last 10 night games) at -185
• Tongliang Long Under 0.5 - 1st Half Team Goals Scored (73% in the last 15 games) at -134
• Tongliang Long Over 1.5 - Team Goals Scored (50% in the last 12 night games) at +138
• Tongliang Long Exactly 2 - Team Goals Scored (Exact) (38% in the last 8 night home games) at +270
• Tongliang Long -1 - Goal Spread 3-Way at +300

Situational Angles & Storylines

What our projection data flags for this team right now:

• Chongqing Tonglianglong FC carry a rest edge: 27 days off versus 26 for the opponent.
• Chongqing Tonglianglong FC get a softer spot against a sub.500 opponent.

Best Team Picks

Top Chongqing Tonglianglong FC team bets with the data behind each:

• Tongliang Long No - To Hold Opponent Scoreless (80% in the last 10 night games, -185)
• Tongliang Long Under 0.5 - 1st Half Team Goals Scored (73% in the last 15 games, -134)
• Tongliang Long Over 1.5 - Team Goals Scored (50% in the last 12 night games, +138)
• Tongliang Long Exactly 2 - Team Goals Scored (Exact) (38% in the last 8 night home games, +270)

Players to Watch on Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Player props from this roster, each tied to the player (not the team):

• P. Jin Yes - Last Goal Scorer (+7500, 1% implied)
• P. Jin Yes - To Score a Goal (+3500, 3% implied)
• C. Chunxin Over 0.5 - Goals Scored (+400, 20% implied)
• I. Amadou Yes - Last Goal Scorer (+3000, 3% implied)
• I. Amadou Over 0.5 - Goals Scored (+1600, 6% implied)
• L. Dimata Yes - Last Goal Scorer (+450, 18% implied)

Things to Watch Out For

Risk flags before backing this team:

• Tongliang Long Over 1.5 - Team Goals Scored has hit just 50% recently, closer to a coin flip than an edge.
• Tongliang Long Exactly 2 - Team Goals Scored (Exact) sits at 38% lately, too thin to back with confidence.

Upcoming Schedule

Live odds for the next game appear in the widget on this page.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Chongqing's Under 2.5 trend in night home games?

Under 2.5 has cashed in 4 of Chongqing's last 5 night home games (80% hit rate). When expanding to the full season, Under 2.5 has hit in 5 of 8 night home contests (63% hit rate). A night game is defined as having a local start time after 6pm.

Does the June 27 kickoff time match Chongqing's night-game trend?

Yes. The match is scheduled for 8:00 PM local time on June 27, which qualifies as a night game and falls within the window where Chongqing's Under 2.5 trend has been most active.

What are Tianjin's offensive credentials entering this matchup?

Tianjin has a season record of 3-6-6 with a 0.2 win percentage, indicating a struggling offensive profile. The team's last-5 record matches Chongqing's at 1-2-2, though Tianjin does carry a 1-game winning streak.

How many times has Under 2.5 missed in Chongqing's last 8 night home games?

Under 2.5 has missed 3 times in Chongqing's last 8 night home games. Those misses occurred on March 21 (6 goals), April 11 (3 goals), and May 30 (5 goals).

What is the American odds value for Under 2.5 in this match?

The American odds value for Under 2.5 is -176, with a decimal odds value of 1.57 and an implied probability of 63.8%.