Noemie Brochant's scoring patterns in night games offer a compelling angle for the Phoenix Mercury's July 3 matchup against the Seattle Storm. The French guard has scored less than 7.5 points in 10 of 15 night games this season, a 67% conversion rate. Her recent head-to-head record against Seattle is even sharper: she posted just 4 points in their last night-game meeting on June 4, marking a 100% hit rate in that specific subset.

Quick Stats

• Brochant has cashed the under 7.5 points in 67% of her 15 night games this season (10 of 15)
• Against Seattle Storm specifically in night games, Brochant is 1-for-1 with 4 points on June 4
• In her last 5 night games, the under has hit at a 60% rate (3 of 5 games)
• This is a night start (7:00 PM local time) at Footprint Centre in Phoenix

Season Night-Game Scoring Trends

Brochant's 2026 season output in night games (local start time after 6 PM) reveals a consistent pattern of modest scoring. Across 15 night games played this season, she has posted under 7.5 points in 10 of them. Her game log in night contests includes performances of 0, 2, 5, 0, 3, 2, 11, 4, 11, 10, 4, 8, 4, 7, and 12 points. The 67% success rate on the under provides substantial edge data for bettors targeting this prop.

• 10 of 15 night games this season stayed under 7.5 points (67%)
• Game log dates: May 13 through June 24 in night-game windows
• Opponents faced in those games include MIN, CHI, TOR, LAS, NYL, SEA, POR, GOL, DAL, IND

Head-to-Head vs Seattle Storm in Night Games

Brochant's most recent matchup against the Seattle Storm on June 4 occurred in a night-game window and resulted in exactly 4 points. This represents a 100% conversion rate on the under in her sample against Seattle when played at night. While limited to one game, this direct precedent aligns with her broader night-game trend and provides sport-specific context for the July 3 fixture.

• June 4, 2026 @ SEA: 4 points (night game) - under 7.5 cashed
• 1-for-1 in night games vs Seattle Storm this season

Recent 5-Game Night Performance

Brochant's last five night games show a 60% under hit rate. She scored 4, 8, 4, 7, and 12 points across games on June 12, 14, 18, 23, and 24 against Dallas, Las Vegas, Indiana, and Indiana again. Three of those five games (June 12, 18, and 23) produced under 7.5 points, demonstrating recent consistency with the season-wide pattern.

• 3 of 5 most recent night games stayed under 7.5 (60%)
• Recent dates: June 12, 14, 18, 23, 24
• Opponents in L5: DAL, LAS, LVA, IND, IND

Game Context: Phoenix at Home

The July 3 matchup is a Friday night contest at Footprint Centre in Phoenix, with a 7:00 PM local start time. This qualifies as a night game under the relevant data windows. Brochant is playing for Phoenix Mercury (7-13 record) against the Seattle Storm (5-15 record) in a regular-season WNBA fixture. The game follows four days of rest for Brochant since her last appearance on June 24.

• Venue: Footprint Centre, Phoenix (capacity 18,422)
• Start time: 7:00 PM local (9:00 PM UTC)
• Season records: Phoenix 7-13, Seattle 5-15
• Phoenix last 5: 3-2; Seattle last 5: 2-3

Top Team & Game Trends

The strongest team and game angles for this matchup:

• Under 169.5 - Total Points (78% in the last 23 games against SEA) at -128
• Under 84.5 - 1st Half Total Points (70% in the last 23 games against PHO) at +130
• Over 180.5 - Total Points (80% in the last 5 night home games) at +325
• Seattle W -5.5 - Point Spread (67% in the last 15 night games against PHO) at +250
• Phoenix W Under 76.5 - Team Points Scored (53% in the last 15 night games against SEA) at +360

Best Game Picks

Our top data-backed game/team recommendations, with the numbers:

• Over 180.5 - Total Points (80% in the last 5 night home games, +325)
• Under 169.5 - Total Points (78% in the last 23 games against SEA, -128)
• Under 43.5 - 2nd Quarter Total Points (74% in the last 23 games against SEA, -120)
• Under 84.5 - 1st Half Total Points (70% in the last 23 games against PHO, +130)

Player Props to Watch

Player props for this game, each tied to the player:

• N. Hiedeman Under 15.5 - Points Scored (90% in the last 10 night away games against PHO, -106)
• N. Hiedeman Under 4.5 - Assists (85% in the last 20 away games vs a former teammate, -115)
• N. Brochant Under 14.5 - Points + Rebounds + Assists (80% in the last 20 games, -118)
• D. Malonga Under 26.5 - Points + Rebounds (80% in the last 20 night away games, -115)
• D. Bonner Under 11.5 - Points Scored (75% in the last 20 night games, -114)
• J. Melbourne Under 7.5 - Points Scored (75% in the last 20 night away games, -104)

Parlays for This Game

Correlated multi-leg parlays from this matchup, with the combined price and every leg:

• 2-leg parlay at +259 (28% implied): A. Fam Over 19.5 - Points + Rebounds + Assists + K. Copper Over 5.5 - Rebounds + Assists
• 2-leg parlay at +294 (25% implied): D. Malonga Over 8.5 - Rebounds + L. Held Over 1.5 - 3 Pointers Made
• 2-leg parlay at +489 (17% implied): N. Hiedeman Over 3.5 - Rebounds + A. Thomas Over 6.5 - Rebounds

Things to Watch Out For

Risk flags before you bet this game:

• K. Copper Over 2.5 - Assists has hit just 33% recently, closer to a coin flip than an edge.
• Phoenix W Under 76.5 - Team Points Scored sits at 53% lately, too thin to back with confidence.
• Under 159.5 - Total Points has cashed only 53% of late, below the bar for a real edge.
• A. Thomas Over 19.5 - Rebounds + Assists is barely a coin flip at 40%, so tread carefully.

How to Bet This Market

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Noemie Brochant's under 7.5 points hit rate in night games this season?

Brochant has scored less than 7.5 points in 10 of 15 night games this season, a 67% conversion rate. This sample includes games from May 13 through June 24, 2026.

How did Brochant perform against Seattle Storm in their last meeting?

On June 4, 2026, Brochant scored 4 points in a night-game matchup against Seattle. This result cashed the under 7.5 and represents a 100% success rate in night games against the Storm (1 of 1).

What was Brochant's under 7.5 points performance in her last 5 night games?

In her last 5 night games (June 12, 14, 18, 23, 24), Brochant cashed the under 7.5 points in 3 of them, a 60% rate. She scored 4, 8, 4, 7, and 12 points respectively.

Does the July 3 Phoenix vs Seattle game qualify as a night game for this trend?

Yes. The game is scheduled for 7:00 PM local time in Phoenix on July 3, 2026, which falls within the night-game window (local start time after 6 PM) used in Brochant's trend data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

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