Connecticut Sun W hosts Washington Mystics W on June 26 in a matchup where the total is set at 164.5 points. The over has cashed in 7 of Connecticut's 9 home games this season, a 78% clip. Over the last 10 home contests, the over has hit at 70%. Against Washington specifically, the over has connected in 5 of the last 11 home meetings (45%), but the trend tilts heavily toward the over when zooming out to Connecticut's broader home splits.
Quick Stats
- Over 164.5 has hit 78% (7 of 9) in Connecticut W home games this season
- Over has cashed 70% of the time in Connecticut W's last 10 home games
- Connecticut W enters at 1-4 in its last 5, while Washington comes in 3-2 in its last 5
- Connecticut W is 3-15 overall this season; Washington W is 8-8 overall
Connecticut Sun Home Over Trend
The over 164.5 has been a reliable play at Mohegan Sun Arena this season. In Connecticut's 9 home games in 2026, the over has connected 7 times. Looking back further, the over has hit 70% of the time across Connecticut's last 10 home contests. Over a 20-game home sample, the over has cashed 60% of the time (12 of 20). These splits suggest scoring environments at Connecticut's home venue lean toward the higher side of totals.
- 78% hit rate (7 of 9) in Connecticut W home games this season
- 70% hit rate (7 of 10) in Connecticut W last 10 home games
- 60% hit rate (12 of 20) in Connecticut W last 20 home games
Head-to-Head Historical Context
Connecticut and Washington have met 11 times at Mohegan Sun Arena in recent years. The over 164.5 has cashed in 5 of those 11 matchups (45%). The most recent meeting on June 17, 2026, went over, scoring 169 combined points. Historically, the head-to-head record at Connecticut's home venue shows a lower over rate than the broader home trend, suggesting Washington's presence slightly suppresses scoring compared to Connecticut's typical home environment.
- 45% hit rate (5 of 11) in Connecticut W home games vs. Washington W
- Most recent home meeting (June 17, 2026) finished at 169 total points (over)
Rest and Form Going In
Connecticut Sun W enters this contest at 3-15 overall (0.167 win percentage) and 1-4 in its last 5 home games, with a zero-game winning streak. The team has had 3 days of rest since its last game. Washington Mystics W arrives at 8-8 overall (0.5 win percentage) and 3-2 in its last 5 games, with 1 day of rest. Connecticut's season-long record sits well below.500, while Washington sits at exactly.500, suggesting a gap in overall competitiveness heading into this June 26 matchup.
- Connecticut W: 3-15 overall, 1-4 last 5 home games, 3 days rest
- Washington W: 8-8 overall, 3-2 last 5 games, 1 day rest
Upcoming Schedule
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the over 164.5 hit rate for Connecticut Sun at home this season?
The over has cashed in 7 of Connecticut's 9 home games this season, a 78% hit rate.
How does Connecticut's home over trend perform across different sample sizes?
Over the last 10 home games, the over has hit 70%. Over the last 20 home games, it has hit 60%. This season (9 games), it has hit 78%.
What is Connecticut's historical over rate against Washington at home?
In the last 11 home matchups between Connecticut W and Washington W, the over 164.5 has cashed 5 times, a 45% hit rate.
What are the current records and form for both teams?
Connecticut W is 3-15 overall and 1-4 in its last 5 home games. Washington W is 8-8 overall and 3-2 in its last 5 games.
When is this game scheduled and where is it being played?
Connecticut Sun W hosts Washington Mystics W on June 26, 2026, at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut. Tip-off is at 7:30 p.m. local time.