Jonquel Jones takes the floor at Barclays Center on June 30 as the New York Liberty host the Las Vegas Aces. The Center is projected to face a former teammate in Stephanie Talbot, a wrinkle that adds context to a prop with solid historical backing. The over on Jones's rebounds+assists at 11.5 has cashed in 55% of her last 20 home games and 50% of her last 12 matchups versus Las Vegas at home, offering a balanced risk-reward entry point at -110 odds.
Quick Stats
- Over 11.5 rebounds+assists has hit 55% in Jones's last 20 home games (11 of 20)
- Against Las Vegas specifically, the over cashed in 50% of the last 12 home meetings (6 of 12)
- Jones has cleared 11.5 in 60% of her last 5 home games (3 of 5)
- Last season Jones exceeded 11.5 in 60% of 15 home games (9 of 15)
- Jones faces former teammate Stephanie Talbot in this Liberty vs Aces matchup
Home Court Consistency Over the Long Term
Jonquel Jones has been a reliable producer of rebounds and assists at Barclays Center. Over her last 20 home games, the over on 11.5 rebounds+assists has connected 55% of the time, 11 cashes across that span. The split is stable when zoomed to 10 games this season: 50% (5 of 10), matching the rate in her 10-game home sample last season as well. This season's home record stands at 12-6, and the Liberty sit at 3-2 in their last 5, creating a roster with rhythm.
- 55% over rate in last 20 home games (11 of 20 games)
- 50% over rate in last 10 home games this season (5 of 10)
- 60% over rate in 15 home games last season (9 of 15)
- Recent L5 home sample: 60% over rate (3 of 5)
Head-to-Head Record vs Las Vegas at Home
The Las Vegas Aces have visited Barclays Center 12 times since Jones arrived with the Liberty. In those 12 home games against Las Vegas, Jones has posted more than 11.5 rebounds+assists in exactly 6 contests, a 50% hit rate. The matchup data spans from 2021 through May 2025, demonstrating durability of the trend across multiple seasons and roster compositions.
- 50% over rate vs Las Vegas at home (6 of 12 games)
- Las Vegas enters at 12-5 overall with a 3-2 last-5 record
- Away team sitting at 3-2 in last 5 games
Former Teammate and Rest Advantage
Jones is listed as facing former teammate Stephanie Talbot, who currently plays for Las Vegas. Additionally, Jones has had one day of rest since her last game on June 19. While her last appearance produced 12 rebounds+assists, the recovery time may support her ability to contribute at volume.
- Projected to face former teammate Stephanie Talbot (Las Vegas)
- One day of rest since last recorded game on June 19
- Game takes place at home venue (Barclays Center) at night
Prop Outlook
Jonquel Jones carries 10 qualifying prop angles in our data. The top trend hits 80% historically; we weigh recent form against the line.
- J. Jones Over 2.5 - 3 Pointers Made (80% in the last 5 games vs a former teammate) at +246 - NYL vs. LVA
- J. Jones Over 24.5 - Points + Rebounds + Assists (70% in the last 10 games vs a former teammate) at -155 - NYL vs. LVA
- J. Jones Under 14.5 - Points Scored (65% in the last 20 night games) at -129 - NYL vs. LVA
- J. Jones Over 9.5 - Rebounds (65% in the last 20 night home games) at +149 - NYL vs. LVA
- J. Jones Under 22.5 - Points + Rebounds (63% in the last 16 night games against LVA) at -113 - NYL vs. LVA
Situational Angles to Know
Storylines our projection data flags for this player:
- Jonquel Jones lines up against former teammate Stephanie Talbot.
Best Prop Picks
Top Jonquel Jones prop recommendations with the numbers behind them:
- J. Jones Over 2.5 - 3 Pointers Made (80% in the last 5 games vs a former teammate, +246)
- J. Jones Over 24.5 - Points + Rebounds + Assists (70% in the last 10 games vs a former teammate, -155)
- J. Jones Under 14.5 - Points Scored (65% in the last 20 night games, -129)
- J. Jones Over 9.5 - Rebounds (65% in the last 20 night home games, +149)
The Trends Behind the Props
How Jonquel Jones's prop results break down across recent form, the full season, home/away, and head-to-head splits:
- J. Jones Over 24.5 - Points + Rebounds + Assists, 61% in the last 28 games against LVA (17/28)
- J. Jones Over 9.5 - Rebounds, 46% in the last 28 games against LVA (13/28)
- J. Jones Over 9.5 - Rebounds, 65% in the last 20 night home games (13/20)
- J. Jones Over 24.5 - Points + Rebounds + Assists, 65% in the last 20 night home games (13/20)
- J. Jones Over 24.5 - Points + Rebounds + Assists, 65% in the last 20 home games (13/20)
- J. Jones Over 9.5 - Rebounds, 55% in the last 20 home games (11/20)
- J. Jones Over 9.5 - Rebounds, 55% in the last 20 home games vs a former teammate (11/20)
- J. Jones Over 2.5 - 3 Pointers Made, 35% in the last 20 home games (7/20)
- J. Jones Over 24.5 - Points + Rebounds + Assists, 57% in 14 night games this season (8/14)
- J. Jones Over 24.5 - Points + Rebounds + Assists, 70% in the last 10 games vs a former teammate (7/10)
Things to Watch Out For
Risk flags before betting these props:
- Jonquel Jones is on short rest (1 day), a fatigue risk for volume props.
- J. Jones Yes - To Record a Double Double has hit just 50% recently, closer to a coin flip than an edge.
- J. Jones Over 17.5 - Points + Assists sits at 50% lately, too thin to back with confidence.
- J. Jones Over 3.5 - Assists has cashed only 42% of late, below the bar for a real edge.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Jonquel Jones's over 11.5 rebounds+assists hit rate at home?
Over the last 20 home games, the over has cashed 55% of the time (11 of 20). Narrowing to this season's 10 home games, the rate is 50% (5 of 10). Last season across 15 home games, it hit 60% (9 of 15).
How does Jones perform specifically against Las Vegas at home?
In 12 home meetings versus Las Vegas, the over on 11.5 rebounds+assists has hit 50% of the time (6 of 12 games). This head-to-head data spans from 2021 through May 2025.
What recent form does Jones have in her last 5 home games?
In her last 5 home games, Jones exceeded 11.5 rebounds+assists in 3 contests for a 60% hit rate. The underlying values were 11, 19, 16, 5, and 12.
Is there any roster or matchup context for this game?
Jones is projected to face former teammate Stephanie Talbot, now with Las Vegas. Jones has one day of rest since her last game on June 19. The Liberty are 3-2 in their last 5 games with a 12-6 season record; the Aces are 12-5 overall and 3-2 in their last 5.