Megan Gustafson's Under 19.5 Points + Rebounds cashed in 15 of her last 17 games against Chicago Sky W, an 88% success rate grounded in long-standing head-to-head trends. In the current season, the Under has connected in 14 of 18 games (78%), and over her last 5 outings, Gustafson finished under the line in 4 of 5 contests (80%). This matchup on June 26 at Wintrust Arena offers a reliable prop anchor against a familiar opponent.
Quick Stats
- Under 19.5 cashed 88% over 17 H2H games vs Chicago Sky W (15 hits)
- 78% hit rate in 18 games this season (14 unders)
- 80% in last 5 games: under in 4 of 5 outings
- 100% under coverage last season across 30 games
- 1 day rest for Gustafson heading into Portland @ Chicago
Head-to-Head Dominance: 88% Success vs Chicago
Megan Gustafson's Under 19.5 Points + Rebounds has proven remarkably consistent against Chicago Sky W. Across 17 career matchups, the under has cashed in 15 games (88%). This long-standing trend extends across multiple seasons and venues, providing concrete evidence of a tactical or matchup-specific edge.
- 15 unders in 17 games vs Chicago (88%)
- Covers span from 2020 through the current 2026 season
- Mix of home and away games for Gustafson reinforces reliability
Season Consistency: 78% in 18 Games
In the 2026 season, Gustafson has posted 14 unders across 18 games (78%), narrowly above the break-even threshold and well above the 50% mark for a balanced prop. The trend reflects her seasonal production patterns and current offensive load with Portland Fire W.
- 14 unders in 18 season games (78%)
- Recent five-game window shows 80% hit rate (4 of 5 unders)
- Last ten games: 6 unders in 10 outings (60%)
Last Season Benchmark: Perfect 100% Coverage
During the 2025 season, Gustafson finished under 19.5 Points + Rebounds in all 30 recorded games (100%). While no current-season streak matches that dominance, the historical floor for this prop demonstrates an entrenched production ceiling that remains relevant to Wednesday's matchup.
- 30 unders in 30 games last season (100%)
- Consistent threshold enforcement across opponents and venues
- Sets a baseline expectation for Gustafson's output range
Game Context: Portland @ Chicago, June 26
Portland Fire W (8-10 season record, 2-3 last five) travels to Chicago Sky W (5-12 season record, 1-4 last five) at Wintrust Arena in Chicago. Both teams have 1 day of rest. Nationally televised matchup in a regular-season contest.
- Away game for Gustafson and Portland Fire W
- Chicago holds 29.4% season win percentage; Portland 44.4%
- Chicago on 1-game winning streak; Portland on 1-game losing streak
Prop Outlook
Megan Gustafson carries 4 qualifying prop angles in our data. The top trend hits 95% historically; we weigh recent form against the line.
- M. Gustafson Under 14.5 - Points Scored (95% in the last 20 night away games) at -105 - POR @ CHI
- M. Gustafson Under 19.5 - Points + Rebounds (95% in the last 20 night games) at -104 - POR @ CHI
- M. Gustafson Under 1.5 - 3 Pointers Made (90% in the last 20 away games vs a former teammate) at -181 - POR @ CHI
- M. Gustafson Under 4.5 - Rebounds (85% in the last 20 night games) at +116 - POR @ CHI
Best Prop Picks
Top Megan Gustafson prop recommendations with the numbers behind them:
- M. Gustafson Under 14.5 - Points Scored (95% in the last 20 night away games, -105)
- M. Gustafson Under 19.5 - Points + Rebounds (95% in the last 20 night games, -104)
- M. Gustafson Under 1.5 - 3 Pointers Made (90% in the last 20 away games vs a former teammate, -181)
- M. Gustafson Under 4.5 - Rebounds (85% in the last 20 night games, +116)
The Trends Behind the Props
How Megan Gustafson's prop results break down across recent form, the full season, home/away, and head-to-head splits:
- M. Gustafson Under 14.5 - Points Scored, 95% in the last 20 night away games (19/20)
- M. Gustafson Under 19.5 - Points + Rebounds, 95% in the last 20 night games (19/20)
- M. Gustafson Under 1.5 - 3 Pointers Made, 90% in the last 20 away games vs a former teammate (18/20)
- M. Gustafson Under 4.5 - Rebounds, 85% in the last 20 night games (17/20)
- M. Gustafson Under 14.5 - Points Scored, 90% in the last 20 night games (18/20)
- M. Gustafson Under 19.5 - Points + Rebounds, 95% in the last 20 night away games (19/20)
- M. Gustafson Under 1.5 - 3 Pointers Made, 85% in the last 20 night away games (17/20)
- M. Gustafson Under 4.5 - Rebounds, 85% in the last 20 night away games (17/20)
- M. Gustafson Under 14.5 - Points Scored, 90% in the last 20 away games vs a former teammate (18/20)
- M. Gustafson Under 19.5 - Points + Rebounds, 90% in the last 20 away games (18/20)
Frequently Asked Questions
How often has Megan Gustafson's Under 19.5 cashed against Chicago Sky W?
Megan Gustafson finished under 19.5 Points + Rebounds in 15 of her last 17 games vs Chicago Sky W (88% hit rate). This head-to-head record spans multiple seasons dating back to 2020.
What is Gustafson's under performance in the 2026 season?
In the 2026 season, the Under 19.5 has cashed in 14 of 18 games (78%). Over her last 5 games, she finished under the line in 4 of 5 outings (80%).
Is Gustafson playing against a former teammate?
Yes. Gustafson is projected to face former teammate Skylar Diggins-Smith, with whom she overlapped on the Phoenix Mercury W.
What was Gustafson's under hit rate last season?
Last season (2025), Megan Gustafson finished under 19.5 Points + Rebounds in all 30 recorded games (100% hit rate).
What are the odds on Megan Gustafson Under 19.5?
The Under carries American odds of -104 (1.96 decimal, 100/104 fractional) with an implied probability of 51%.