Natisha Hiedeman faces former teammate Sika Kone and the Atlanta Dream on June 28 at Climate Pledge Arena. The over on Hiedeman's assists has cashed in 6 of her last 10 games against opponents featuring a former teammate, a 60% hit rate that stands out against her season-long 46% clip in 13 such matchups.
Quick Stats
- Over 4.5 assists has hit 60% in Hiedeman's last 10 games vs a former teammate (Sika Kone now plays for Atlanta).
- In the last 5 games against a former teammate, the over has cashed 60% of the time, including a 6-assist outing on June 18.
- Season-long vs a former teammate: 46% hit rate over 13 games, with a recent 11-assist performance on June 23.
- Head-to-head record vs Atlanta and a former teammate: only 9% (1 of 11 games) have exceeded 4.5 assists.
Recent Form vs Former Teammates
Hiedeman's assist prop over has shown strength in her last 10 matchups against players she previously shared a team with. Over that span, the over 4.5 assists has connected 60% of the time, with outputs including 5, 6, 5, 6, and 11 assists. The 11-assist game came on June 23 against Dallas, and a 6-assist performance arrived on June 18 at Portland. This elevated frequency stands above her season-long average against former teammates.
- Last 10 games vs former teammate: 6 overs, 4 unders (60% hit rate)
- Recent 5-game stretch vs former teammate: 3 overs, 2 unders (60% hit rate)
- High-water mark this season: 11 assists on June 23
Season-Long Pattern vs Former Teammates
In 13 games this season where Hiedeman has faced a former teammate, the over 4.5 assists has cashed 6 times, translating to a 46% success rate. The matchups span opponents including Gold State, Dallas, Phoenix, Minnesota, and New York. While this is below the 60% pace over the last 10 contests, it reflects the cumulative effect of games earlier in the season that fell short of 4.5 assists.
- Season total vs former teammate: 6 overs in 13 games (46% hit rate)
- Opponents faced: GOL, CON, DAL, PHO, MIN, and others
- Assist totals this season ranged from 2 to 11
Historical Struggles Against Atlanta
When drilling down to matchups specifically against Atlanta Dream, even with the former-teammate angle included, the data is stark. Hiedeman has exceeded 4.5 assists in just 1 of her last 11 games against Atlanta, a 9% hit rate. This includes contests dating back to 2020. The sole success came on July 9, 2021, when she finished with 5 assists. Most recent Atlanta matchups show 2, 3, and 0 assists across the last three outings.
- Atlanta head-to-head: 1 over in last 11 games (9% hit rate)
- Most recent three Atlanta games: 2, 3, and 0 assists
- Only success vs Atlanta: 5 assists on July 9, 2021
Betting Context
The over on Hiedeman's assists carries -104 American odds (1.96 decimal), implying approximately 51% probability. Seattle enters this game with a 1-4 record in its last five contests, while Atlanta holds a 4-1 stretch with a 12-5 season record. Hiedeman has recorded one day of rest since her last recorded appearance on June 18. The game tips off on June 28 at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle.
- Over 4.5 Assists: -104 American (-1.96 decimal)
- Seattle's last 5: 1-4 record
- Atlanta's last 5: 4-1 record
- Hiedeman's rest: 1 day since June 18 last recorded action
Prop Outlook
Natisha Hiedeman carries 11 qualifying prop angles in our data. The top trend hits 100% historically; we weigh recent form against the line.
- N. Hiedeman Under 2.5 - Rebounds (100% in the last 5 home games against ATL and a former teammate) at -130 - SEA vs. ATL
- N. Hiedeman Under 19.5 - Points + Assists (92% in the last 13 night games against ATL) at -112 - SEA vs. ATL
- N. Hiedeman Under 14.5 - Points Scored (92% in the last 13 night games against ATL) at +100 - SEA vs. ATL
- N. Hiedeman Under 6.5 - Rebounds + Assists (84% in the last 19 games against ATL) at +115 - SEA vs. ATL
- N. Hiedeman Over 23.5 - Points + Rebounds + Assists (80% in the last 5 games vs a former teammate) at +125 - SEA vs. ATL
Situational Angles to Know
Storylines our projection data flags for this player:
- Natisha Hiedeman lines up against former teammate Sika Kone.
- Natisha Hiedeman plays in his birth country, United States.
Best Prop Picks
Top Natisha Hiedeman prop recommendations with the numbers behind them:
- N. Hiedeman Under 2.5 - Rebounds (100% in the last 5 home games against ATL and a former teammate, -130)
- N. Hiedeman Under 19.5 - Points + Assists (92% in the last 13 night games against ATL, -112)
- N. Hiedeman Under 14.5 - Points Scored (92% in the last 13 night games against ATL, +100)
- N. Hiedeman Under 6.5 - Rebounds + Assists (84% in the last 19 games against ATL, +115)
The Trends Behind the Props
How Natisha Hiedeman's prop results break down across recent form, the full season, home/away, and head-to-head splits:
- N. Hiedeman Over 23.5 - Points + Rebounds + Assists, 40% in the last 10 home games vs a former teammate (4/10)
- N. Hiedeman Over 23.5 - Points + Rebounds + Assists, 80% in the last 5 games vs a former teammate (4/5)
- N. Hiedeman Over 23.5 - Points + Rebounds + Assists, 80% in the last 5 games (4/5)
- N. Hiedeman Over 23.5 - Points + Rebounds + Assists, 60% in the last 5 night games (3/5)
- N. Hiedeman Over 23.5 - Points + Rebounds + Assists, 40% in the last 5 night home games (2/5)
- N. Hiedeman Over 23.5 - Points + Rebounds + Assists, 35% in the last 20 home games (7/20)
Things to Watch Out For
Risk flags before betting these props:
- Natisha Hiedeman is on short rest (1 day), a fatigue risk for volume props.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Natisha Hiedeman's assist prop trend against former teammates?
Over 4.5 assists has hit 60% in her last 10 games against a former teammate (6 overs, 4 unders). Over the entire 2026 season in such matchups, the rate sits at 46% (6 overs in 13 games). This season includes a peak of 11 assists on June 23 and a low of 2 assists on June 2.
How has Hiedeman performed against Atlanta Dream specifically?
The over on Hiedeman's assists has cashed in only 1 of her last 11 games against Atlanta Dream, a 9% success rate. Her most recent three contests against Atlanta yielded 2, 3, and 0 assists. The only time she exceeded 4.5 assists versus Atlanta was on July 9, 2021, when she recorded 5.
Who is the former teammate Hiedeman is facing?
Sika Kone, who previously shared a team with Hiedeman on the Minnesota Lynx, now plays for the Atlanta Dream. This is the narrative driver behind the elevated 60% hit rate on the over in Hiedeman's last 10 games involving a former teammate.
What are the game details for this matchup?
Seattle Storm hosts Atlanta Dream on June 28, 2026, at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle. Tip-off is scheduled for 6:00 PM local time (9:00 PM UTC). Atlanta enters with a 12-5 season record and 4-1 last-five record, while Seattle is 4-15 on the season with a 1-4 last-five stretch.